``Coalition Quality and Multinational Dispute Outcomes.'' International Interactions, 2017 Accepted [with Elizabeth Menninga]

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``Affinity Communities in United Nations Voting: Implications for Cooperation, Conflict, and Democracy.'' Physica A. 2017 [with Scott Pauls]

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``What we can Learn from Predictive Modeling'' Political Analysis, 2017, 25 (2), pp. 145-166 [with Bruce A. Desmarais]

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``Position Taking in the Euro Crisis'' Journal of European Public Policy, 2016 Accepted [with Klaus Armingeon]

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``Stochastic Weighted Graphs: Flexible Model Specification and Simulation'' Social Networks, 2017, vol. 49, pp-37-47 [with James D. Wilson, Matthew J. Denny, Shankar Bhamidi, and Bruce A. Desmarais]

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``Temporal Exponential Random Graph Models with btergm: Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Intervals'' Journal of Statistical Software, 2017 Forthcoming [with Philip Leifeld and Bruce A. Desmarais]

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“A Three-Degree Horizon of Peace in the Military Alliance Network” Science Advances, 2017, 3(3): e1601895 [with Weihua Li, Aisha E. Bradshaw, and Caitlin B. Clary] 

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"Navigating the Range of Statistical Tools for Inferential Network Analysis." Accepted. American Journal of Political Science. [with Philip Leifeld, Scott McClurg, and Meredith Rolfe]

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"A Critique of Dyadic Design." Accepted 2015. International Studies Quarterly. [with Bruce Desmarais]

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"Kantian Fractionalization Predicts the Conflict Propensity of the International System." Forthcoming 2015. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.  [with Elizabeth Menninga and Peter Mucha]

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"What to do about Atheoretic Lags." Forthcoming 2015. Political Science Research and Methods. [with Doug Rice and Randolph Siverson]

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"The Color of Our Skin or the Content of our Character? The Impact of Hispanic and White Cues on Attitudes Towards the Violation of Generic Norms." 2013. PLoS-one. [with Mirjam Cranmer]

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"Reciprocity and the Structural Determinants of the International Sanctions Network." 2013. Social Networks. [with Tobias Heinrich and Bruce A. Desmarais]

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“Forecasting the Locational Dynamics of Transnational Terrorism: A Network Analytic Approach” Security Informatics. 2 (8) [with Bruce A. Desmarais] Note. This is an extended and re-printed version of the article by the same title originally published in the EISIC proceedings. This extended edition went through a second peer-review process.

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"We Have to Be Discrete About This: A Non-Parametric Imputation Technique for Missing Categorical Data" 2013. British Journal of Political Science. [with Jeff Gill]

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“Micro-Level Interpretation of Exponential Random Graph Models with Application to Estuary Networks.” 2013. Policy Studies Journal. [with Bruce Desmarais]

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"Towards a Network Theory of Alliance Formation" International Interactions. 2013 [with Bruce A. Desmarais and Justin H. Kirkland]

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“Statistical Mechanics of Networks: Estimation and Uncertainty.” Physica A. 2012. [with Bruce A. Desmarais]

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"The Heritability of Foreign Policy Preferences " Twin Research and Human Genetics. 2012. [with Christopher T. Dawes]

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"Complex Dependencies in the Alliance Network” Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2012. [with Bruce A. Desmarais and Elizabeth J. Menninga]

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“Statistical Inference for Valued-Edge Networks: The Generalized Exponential Random Graph Model" PLoS-ONE.  7(1): e30136. [with Bruce A. Desmarais]

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"Forecasting the Locational Dynamics of Transnational Terrorism: A Network Analytic Approach” In Proceedings of the European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference (EISIC). IEEE Computer Society, 2011. [with Bruce A. Desmarais]

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"Inferential Network Analysis with Exponential Random Graph Models." Political Analysis. 2011. 19(1). [with Bruce A. Desmarais] Note. This article was re-printed in 2013 as part of a Political Analysis digital special issue.

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“Consistent Confidence Intervals for Maximum Pseudolikelihood Estimators." Neural Information Processing Systems: Computational Social Science and the Wisdom of Crowds. 2010. [with Bruce A. Desmarais]

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"Demography, Democracy and Disputes: The Search for the Elusive Relationship Between Population Growth and International Conflict." Journal of Politics. 2008. 70(3). [with Randolph M. Siverson]

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"Testing the ‘Dick Cheney’ Hypothesis: Do Governments of the Left Attract more Terrorism than Governments of the Right?"Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2007. 24(4).

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Other publications

"Book Review: 'Hezbollah: A Short History." Journal of Conflict Studies. 2008.

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"Hizballah." In Richard F. Pilch and Raymond A. Zilinskas (Editors), Encyclopedia of Bioterrorism Defense. John Wiley and Sons. 2005.

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"Palestine Liberation Organization." In Richard F. Pilch and Raymond A. Zilinskas (Editors), Encyclopedia of Bioterrorism Defense. John Wiley and Sons. 2005.